Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Is this more evidence that Cable & Co have absolutely no
idea what to do with the pubcos and the beer tie?
Consider this:
Whether tenants like it or not it is clear that whatever
government decide to do – even if that something is nothing – there will be
some form of collateral damage, albeit inadvertently, on parts of the sector.
If government legislate and give tenants a MRO or a ‘tied tenant no worse off’
then some pubcos may not survive it. Punch for example are teetering on the
brink of extinction and it will only take a small shove to send them over the
edge. Whilst I accept most tenants will be safeguarded by their lease
agreement, it still leaves an uncertain long term future for pubs as there may
not be an automatic right to renew especially if there is a mass pub jumble
sale.
And then we have other companies that currently do business
with the pubcos - brewers (family and micro) suppliers, maintenance
contractors, builders, logistic companies – the list is endless and many
companies/people will be affected by changes in legislation.
We would argue that pubs will still need the services of
these companies and that is of course correct but we all must agree there will
most definitely be fall out if government legislate and much of it will not be
pretty.
So back to Government’s dilemma.
I expect they realise the above and find themselves firmly
between a rock and hard place: help small businesses and there will be
collateral damage, much of it ugly and backed up I expect with legal challenges,
or do nothing and continue to see pubs close, tens of thousands of people lose
their jobs with ex publicans and their families relying on state handouts.
My point I suppose is they’v e left it too long to make
change. They had the perfect opportunity
in 2004 but failed (just like the beer orders) to make adequate provision for
the sector as a whole and whatever they do now, almost ten years later, will
undoubtedly have serious consequences for parts of the sector.
Fair Pint were right; the beer tie doesn’t work – I would
argue it never has – and Cable & Co, even if we were to imagine there are
no dark forces in play, must be struggling with the situation they now find
themselves in. It’s simple really, whatever they do they lose either way.
For my part I say burn the bastards. They’ve taken too
much already!
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